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AI monitoring UK public information · England · Scotland · Wales · Northern Ireland
CARDIFF|14:20|Wales|Politics

Claim that Welsh local authority funding rose 12% this year

Statement attributed correctly, but the underlying figure conflicts with published statistics.

DISPUTEDProof Score 34Independent lineages 3Primary sources 2Last AI recheck 18 minutes ago

What we know

  • ✓The statement was made on the record and is accurately quoted.

What we don't know

  • ?Which baseline year and which funding envelope the 12% figure refers to.
  • ?Whether the figure is cash terms or real terms.

Summary

Generated only from the evidence dossier

Proofed distinguishes between 'a source confirms it made a statement' and 'the statement is established as fact'. Here only the former holds.

Identical verification architecture is applied regardless of party or affiliation.

CLAIM-031

Assertion type: ALLEGATION

Local authority funding in Wales rose by 12% this year.

•DISPUTED
34
Claim ID
CLAIM-031
Proof Score
34
Proofed at
—
Last rechecked
18 minutes ago
Evidence count
2
Independent lineages
3

Principal score factors

  • Statement verified as accurately quoted+18
  • Official statistics conflict with the figure-38
  • No published methodology for the 12% figure-16

Evidence

  • PRIMARYEV-41 · lineage L1 · Published earlier this year
    Official statistical release

    Settlement increase recorded at 4.7% cash terms.

    Authoritative for: The funding figure itself

  • OFFICIALEV-42 · lineage L2 · 14:02
    Transcript of the statement

    Confirms the wording used. Authoritative only for what was said.

    Authoritative for: What was stated

Source tree · information lineage

  1. OriginStatement in chamber

    Primary transcript

  2. Hop 1Press release repeats figure

    Same lineage as the statement

  3. Hop 2Coverage repeats press release

    Not independent corroboration

The Sceptic · adversarial verification

  • ↯Searched for any baseline or envelope under which 12% would be arithmetically correct; none published.
  • ↯Claim held at DISPUTED rather than DEBUNKED because a defensible methodology may exist but is unpublished.

Evidence graph

How the conclusion was constructed

  1. 01EVENT
  2. 02CLAIMS
  3. 03ORIGINAL SOURCES
  4. 04INDEPENDENT LINEAGES
  5. 05PRIMARY EVIDENCE
  6. 06OFFICIAL STATEMENTS
  7. 07DATA
  8. 08MEDIA
  9. 09SECONDARY REPORTING
  10. 10CONTRADICTORY EVIDENCE

Contradictions

Recorded, never hidden

  • Published settlement statistics indicate a 4.7% cash-terms increase over the stated period, not 12%.

Proof ledger

Permanent chronological record

  1. 14:02
    SIGNAL DETECTED — statement transcript
  2. 14:09
    Official statistics retrieved and compared
  3. 14:20
    CLAIM-031 → DISPUTED · Proof Score 34

Corrections

Built in, not a footnote

No corrections issued for this story.

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